玉米是吉林省的主要粮食作物,玉米价格波动与农民收入、农村稳定息息相关。本文采用 1982—2016年的数据,界定吉林省玉米价格波动周期,分析波动特征,在此基础上,进一步选取内部因素和外部因素建立多元回归模型进行实证分析,探索影响玉米价格波动的主要因素,为稳定吉林省玉米价格、保证农民收入、完善玉米价格的调控机制提供参考。
英文摘要:
Corn is the main grain crop in Jilin province. The price fluctuation of corn is closely related to the income of farmers and the stability of rural areas. This paper uses data from 1982 to 2016 to definite the period of corn price fluctuation in Jilin Province and analysis the volatility characteristics, on this basis, further selection of internal and external factors to establish regression model for empirical analysis, to explore the main factors affecting corn price fluctuation, and provide a reference for the stability corn prices and ensure farmers" income, perfect the control mechanism the price of corn in Jilin province.
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