吉林省玉米价格变动对农民家庭经营收入的影响研究

吉林省是玉米种植大省,玉米价格变动对吉林省农民家庭经营收入具有直接影响。在玉米价格改革的背景下,研究玉米价格与农民家庭经营收入的关系,具有一定的意义。本文选取了1982—2015年玉米价格与农民家庭经营收入的数据,通过单位根检验、Johansen协整检验、Granger因果检验及脉冲响应函数等方法进行实证分析。结果表明:短期内玉米价格对农民家庭经营收入的影响较大;长期内,玉米价格对农民家庭经营收入的影响逐渐减弱。说明玉米价格上涨并不能在根本上提高农民收入和改善生活水平,并据此提出了建议。 英文摘要: The proportion of corn is so high that its price has great influence to farmers\&\#39\; household income in Jilin province.it is important to investigate the relationship between corn price and farmers\&\#39\; household income during corn pricing reformation. This paper has selected the data of corn prices and farmers\&\#39\; household income from 2009 to 2016.in order to acquire the impact of corn price on farmers\&\#39\; household income, and a multiple pulse-response function is introduced in to analysis the conductional relationship between the varieties. The result show that the corn price is the Grange cause of the farmers\&\#39\; household income. Corn prices has significant impact on farmers \&\#39\; household income. As time goes by, the influence is declining. It\&\#39\;s proof that corn prices upwards do nothing for advance standard of living. And puts forward the suggestions.
;